At the time, we speculated that general election results would soon be released, and we now see them coming into the public domain. Because the polling sample contained a slight Democratic skew, which is a positive since the contest between Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam (D) and former US Rep. Tom Perriello (D-Charlottesville) is becoming a highly competitive political contest and more information was needed about that campaign, we thus expected the general election would give the Democrats an advantage. Not so.
According to the CNU numbers (3/16-26; 831 VA registered voters), former GOP national chairman Ed Gillespie has a 40-39% edge over Lt. Governor Northam, while drawing into a 39% tie with former Rep. Perriello. It was expected, when looking at the polling sample composition, that both Democrats would hold a several point lead.