Gov. Henry McMaster (R) was forced into a two-week run-off campaign because his opponents held him under 50% support in Tuesday’s primary. Yesterday, two of his challengers, former Haley Administration cabinet official Catherine Templeton and Lt. Gov. Kevin Bryant, both endorsed the second-place finisher John Warren, a Greenville mortgage company executive and former Iraq War veteran. The endorsements were of little surprise because both individuals were also challenging the new incumbent Governor. Mr. McMaster became Governor when then-incumbent Nikki Haley (R) resigned to become US Ambassador to the United Nations. He was elected as Lt. Governor in 2014 with 59% of the vote.
Just before last night’s election, a South Carolina political poll revealed that incumbent US Representative and former Governor Mark Sanford (R) was is serious re-nomination trouble, largely because of his public criticism of President Trump. With the President as the focal point of the primary campaign, state Rep. Katie Arrington (R-Summerville) defeated Rep. Sanford in last night’s primary election, with a 50.5 to 46.6% recorded vote margin according to the latest count. The percentage is important because exceeding the 50% mark means Ms. Arrington wins the nomination without advancing to a secondary June 26th run-off election.
Mr. Sanford becomes the second incumbent House member to be denied re-nomination in the 2018 primary season. In early May, North Carolina Rep. Bob Pittenger (R-Charlotte) fell to Baptist former pastor Mark Harris in the 9th District Republican primary.
In the Charleston area, Ms. Arrington is now expected to easily defeat Democratic primary winner Joe Cunningham in the November general election.
A new automated poll from little known Momentum National (6/7; 315 SC-1 likely Republican primary voters; 148 who have voted in two or more previous Republican primaries) finds incumbent US Representative and former Governor Mark Sanford (R-Charleston) dropping into a dead heat contest against state Rep. Katie Arrington (R-Summerville). According to the results, Rep. Sanford clings to only a 40-39% lead over Ms. Arrington among the at-large sample. When segmenting only those who have voted in two or more GOP primaries, Rep. Sanford’s position improves slightly to 44-40%. Ms. Arrington had raised just over $611,000 through the latest pre-primary reporting period (May 23rd).
Two polls conducted over the same May 29-31 period draw largely the same conclusions. First, that the Republican race will advance to a June 26th run-off election, and second, that businessman and military veteran John Warren is making a serious come-from-behind bid for second place.
According to the Fabrizio Lee polling firm (500 SC likely Republican primary voters), Gov. Henry McMaster leads Mr. Warren and former Nikki Haley Administration cabinet official Catherine Templeton, 33-19-17%. Target Insyght (400 SC likely Republican primary voters) finds a similar result, but with a different order. They see Gov. McMaster leading 37-25-20% over Ms. Templeton and Mr. Warren, resp
A total of 13 Republican candidates are running to succeed retiring Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-Spartanburg) in the upcoming June 12th primary election. If no candidate secures majority support, a run-off will occur just two weeks later on June 26th. According to a National Research survey (4/23-25; 400 SC-4 likely Republican primary voters) for the GOPAC Election Fund, former state Sen. Lee Bright (R-Roebuck) pulls 13%, followed by a group of candidates between 5 and 7%. Former Spartanburg County Republican chairman Josh Kimbrell, state Sen. William Timmons (R-Greenville), and state Rep. Dan Hamilton (R-Greenville) are all within the margin of polling error for the second run-off position. No other candidate exceeded 2% support. In all, only 37% of the respondents could name a preferred candidate.
Target Insyght ran a South Carolina gubernatorial poll (4/3-5; 800 SC likely primary voters; 400 likely Republican primary voters; 400 likely Democratic primary voters) and finds Gov. Henry McMaster (R) in strong shape for his first election in his own right, but whether he can avoid a run-off is still open to question. Other recently published polls have come to the same conclusion.
According to the results, Gov. McMaster has 46% preference in the Republican primary opposite 22% for former state cabinet official Catherine Templeton. Lt. Gov. Kevin Bryant trails with 6%, while former Democratic Lt. Gov. Yancey McGill, who has switched parties, registers only 4 percent. If no candidate receives a majority vote in the June 12th primary, the top two will run-off two weeks later.
For the Democrats, state Rep. James Smith (D-Columbia) and non-profit group founder Phil Noble are tied with 27% apiece. Anti-trust attorney Marguerite Willis closely trails with 21%. This data suggests that the Democrats are almost assuredly headed for a secondary election.
Gov. McMaster, who ascended to the state’s top position when incumbent Nikki Haley (R) resigned to become US Ambassador to the United Nations, is favored for the Republican nomination, and to win the general election in November.
New Gov. Henry McMaster (R), who ascended to the state’s top position when incumbent Nikki Haley (R) was appointed US Ambassador to the United Nations, already faces four declared Republicans and three Democrats as tomorrow’s candidate filing deadline fast approaches in preparation for the June 12th primary election.
The Save the Children Action Network commissioned a joint Democratic and Republican poll that was just released (TargetPoint Consulting/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research; 3/10-17; 800 SC registered voters; 397 SC likely Republican primary voters; 296 SC likely Democratic voters), and the totals find Gov. McMaster pulling 41% support. Former Haley cabinet official Catherine Templeton is next with 10%, followed by Lt. Gov. Kevin Bryant’s five percent, while former Democratic Lt. Gov. Yancey McGill posts 3%, and Greenville businessman John Warren stands at 2% support.
For the Democrats, state Rep. James Smith (D-Columbia) leads with 18% over Florence attorney Marguerite Willis’ 11%, and Charleston businessman Phil Noble who garners seven percent. If no candidate receives majority support in the original primary election, the top two finishers in each party then advance to a June 26th run-off election.
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research conducted a survey of the South Carolina GOP gubernatorial primary where new Governor Henry McMaster (R) is gearing up for a challenge from three fellow Republicans. The first public poll looks good for the Governor, who ascended to his position from the Lt. Governor’s post when the state’s former chief executive, Nikki Haley (R), resigned to become US Ambassador to the United Nations in the Trump Administration.
According to the M-D data (12/6-10; 625 SC registered voters; 400 Republican regular primary voters), Gov. McMaster would lead former state cabinet secretary Catherine Templeton, 51-21%, while Lt. Gov. Kevin Bryant garners only 8% support, and former Lt. Gov. Yancey McGill secures just 1% backing. The South Carolina primary is June 12th, with a June 26th run-off if no candidate secures a majority vote.
Gov. Henry McMaster (R) raised just over $568,000 during the last quarter, but one of his opponents did better. Catherine Templeton, who served in two cabinet posts for then-Gov. Nikki Haley (R), topped $600,000, but both candidates have approximately $1.9 million cash-on-hand. On the other hand, Lt. Gov. Kevin Bryant (R) is off to a slow start. He managed to raise only $125,000, but self-contributed an additional $225,000.
Attorney General Alan Wilson (R), son of US Rep. Joe Wilson (R-Springdale/Lexington County), who had been considered a possible Republican primary challenger to Gov. Henry McMaster announced earlier this week that he will seek re-election to a third term in his current position. Gov. McMaster, who ascended to the position when predecessor Nikki Haley (R) was appointed US Ambassador to the United Nations, will face a primary challenge at least from Lt. Gov. Kevin Bryant and former Lt. Gov. Yancey McGill, however. State Rep. James Smith (D-Columbia) is the only announced Democratic gubernatorial candidate to date.
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