Zogby Analytics (released 9/12; 834 likely US voters; 356 likely Democratic presidential primary voters) released what could be the first 2020 Democratic presidential primary poll. Though the sample size is too small (356) to be considered a reliable national survey, the results are still interesting to peruse. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, not surprisingly, leads the group with 28% support from within the tiny sample sector. Former Vice President Joe Biden draws 17%, followed by Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren who has 12% support. Those in single-digits are Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg (7%), California Sen. Kamala Harris (6), and New York Senator and Governor, Kirsten Gillibrand and Andrew Cuomo, respectively, (3). Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe bring up the rear with 1% support apiece.
Golden State political leaders have moved their presidential primary from early in the election cycle to late during the immediate past presidential elections, trying to find the best strategic voting niche for what is always the nation’s largest delegation to both national conventions. In 2016, California went back to its traditional June primary, hoping to be the deciding factor for both parties. To a degree, their plan worked because they did attract major campaigning in the state but it was already evident that both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton would win their respective nominations before voters in the nation’s most populous place had their say. Now, it looks like the state may return to a March primary in the 2020 election. The California legislature is expected to consider a bill next week that will again move the primary to an early voting slot.
Talk of a 2020 “unity ticket” featuring Govs. John Kasich (R-OH) and John Hickenlooper (D-CO) should now come to at least a temporary end. Over the weekend Gov. Kasich emphatically stated in an interview that he would not be part of such an effort for the next presidential election. But, even such a firm declaration will not likely end all speculation.
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