Based upon the news that former Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio (R) and Rep. Martha McSally (R-Tucson) are entering the open US Senate race, an OH Predictive Insights flash interactive voice response poll for Arizona ABC affiliate Channel 15 was quickly conducted. The survey (1/9; 504 AZ likely Republican primary voters) finds Rep. McSally moving into first place with 31% followed closely by Sheriff Arpaio who captures 29%. Former state Sen. Kelli Ward drops to 25% support. Interestingly, the field shifts when outside endorsements are added. If President Trump were to endorse Arpaio, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell to publicly back McSally, and former White House aide and ex-Breitbart News exec Steve Bannon continue to align himself with Ward, the field would break 35-31-13% for Arpaio, McSally, and Ward in that order.
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